Bad Journalism
Bad Polling from Politico
Submitted by Blue Leader on Thu, 01/08/2009 - 16:02A lot of reporting on polls is pretty terrible, but this from Politico is kind of egregious. See why beneath the fold...
Dueling Alaska Polls
Submitted by Blue Leader on Wed, 01/07/2009 - 11:22Nate Silver has a solid look at two polls of the 2010 Alaska Senate primary, with a hypothetical matchup of Lisa Murkowski vs. everyone's favorite hockey mom. The kicker? The two polls both show roughly a 25 point lead--for different candidates. Read the whole thing.
Republicans once again demonstrate how to poll disingenuously
Submitted by Dirty D on Wed, 12/31/2008 - 06:53When we started this site, we never meant to let our partisan identification get have anything to do with what we wrote about. After all, when writing about data, voter files, polling, journalism, microtargeting, Linux and other such things, you'd think that there would be plenty of material to write about. And, well, there is, but to my eyes, the perpetrators of stupidity in polling are mostly on the otherside.
Today's lesson comes from that bastion of truth-seeking and truth-speaking integrity, the Editorial Pages of the Wall. St. Journal. Known parrhesiast Stephen Moore decides to show us how not to read a poll.
There's more.
John Ziegler, We Love You
Submitted by Student Redux on Wed, 11/19/2008 - 20:42I wish this were humor, I really do.
On the very day I describe how questions can be a source of methodological error in my regular series post, I find out about the new Zogby poll commissioned by John Ziegler. Nate Silver at 538 has been all over this one, and good on Nate. But I want to do my own bit of analysis here, just to illustrate my point about questions and methodological error.
The Poll-of-Polls Problem
Submitted by Student Redux on Tue, 10/28/2008 - 15:35Last week, I discussed some of the sampling problems that can crop up in pollsters' work. My first article showed how the problem of bias is intrinsic to stratified sampling. My second article expanded the discussion to demographic weighting and cluster sampling.
Today, I'm going to resume the discussion of polling problems by looking at the media's new tactic of using polls-of-polls to resolve the sometimes conflicting information from polls that get reported on an hourly basis.
The Undecided Fallacy
Submitted by Student Redux on Sat, 10/25/2008 - 16:06I've heard a lot of sturm und drang over the persistence of undecided voters in the closing weeks of this campaign. "Why can't Obama close the deal," is a frequent media meme, even on MSNBC. Every time I hear this question, I'm more than a little surprised. Why?
Because Obama closed the deal weeks ago.
Hump Day Humor: That Time of Year When A Young Man's Heart Turns to Pundits
Submitted by Blue Leader on Wed, 10/15/2008 - 17:25I think everyone in politics wants, just once, to be Josh Lyman in that scene from the first West Wing episode where two college girls fangirl on him at a restaurant. Luckily, the Internet is here to make this a reality for a lucky few. I can sort of understand--if not participate in--the impulse behind Viva Chuck Todd!.
But...seriously...David Gergen?!?@?!?!?!@!11111!
I can't deal with this, not today.
Fascinating Peek Into Obama Polling
Submitted by Blue Leader on Wed, 08/27/2008 - 17:27Mark Blumenthal of Pollster.com sat in on a session that David Plouffe and other Obama staff had with some Atlantic/Natl. Journal reporters. It's got some fascinating tidbits about how the Obama campaign uses polling, their definition of undecided voters, and Plouffe's opinion on the worst aspect of campaign coverage. Check it out.
Hump Day Humor
Submitted by Blue Leader on Wed, 08/20/2008 - 18:46New poll identifies the 430 key demographics that will win the election.
Pay special attention to the sub-headers that pop up on the screen; they're hilarious.
Ruffini Strikes Again
Submitted by Blue Leader on Sat, 07/19/2008 - 10:24Patrick Ruffini annotates an article in Salon about Barack Obama's microtargeting efforts.














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