National Journal's Long-Term Election Analysis
National Journal has an article in their latest issue that focuses on the 18 states the Dems have won in each of the past 5 presidential elections (i.e. Clinton-Clinton-Bush-Bush-Obama):
After Barack Obama's sweeping victory in November, 18 states and the District of Columbia have now voted for the Democratic nominee in at least the past five presidential elections. The last time Democrats won that many states so consistently was from 1932 to 1948, when Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman won 22 states in five consecutive presidential races.
Together, these 18 states are worth 248 electoral votes--roughly one Ohio from the presidency. The piece uses this hook in an interesting if somewhat conventional-wisdom-esque sort of way.
Granted, their methodology lends itself to cherry-picking (why the last 5 elections, aside from liking round numbers?). And frankly, I'd be more intrigued to hear a piece that laid out a Republican comeback strategy, although it would be harder to write. Nevertheless, it's a good analysis--check it out.
nice
very informative..
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